Proactive structural  simulation of China/US central banks monetary, QE2,400 billion twist, US 450 billion economic stimulus, fiscal bail out, tax cuts policy impact on global /China stock market asset prices market forces prices mechanism forecast: China rate hikes continue into 2011 to cooloff excess liquidity 2008 due to 568 billion infrasture railway, highway program designed to maintain 8 % GDP and price stability while housing bubble continue grow during 2009- 2011 induces 6.2 % inflation Aug 2011 CPI price and housing bubble control through 2011,housing price face 30- 50 % correction soon drag Shanghai A index to test 2100- 2300 low despite US twist, stimulus program
He also warned Dec. 20 in Tiajin 2010 that US and Euro entering double dip recession due to debt crisis, and QE2 resulted inflation, cutting into consumer spending, leading to double dip recession fear and EURO debt drag Dow Jones test 9000-10,000, Finanicl Times test 4500, Hong Kong Hanseng test 15000- 18,000 China credit tightening extended into end of 2011 to remove excess liquidity with 1.1 tirllion in provincail government housing loan and 0.4 trillion into private investment, from housing loan into stock , despite raise rate 4 time , bank deposit rate raised to 21.5 %, M2 cut from 29 % in 2009 to Aug.2011 13.5 % housing price still at their peak ( prices soared 800 % in SHanghai, Beijin), forced China Peoples Bank contiue tightening credit till end of 2011, until US, global entring recession. China stock market prices facing bear market correction contiue into yearend 2011, with SHanghai Composite 2200- 2400, SHangzhen A comp.9000- 10000 Dr. Warren Huang accurately warned on Wall Street Journal Market beat Blog Sept.19, 2007 that US housing price slump continue into summer 2008 drag economy into inflationary recession and US, global stock indices bear market correction, oil above 110-145, Bear Stearn 30 billion dollar MBS hedge funddespite Fed rate cuts He also warned top QFII management on Peking Univ June 2007 International Financial Engineering Conference that China overheated housing, stock market wealth gain resulted inflation over 8.7 % will lead to China Peoples Bank credit tightening to remove excessive liquidity, Housing, stock markets follow US housing price slump, recession,Dow Jones plunged below 7000 bear market correction, with Shanghai A testing 1600- 2000 support through early 2009, with Petrochina, housing stocks down 70 %, banking, IT stocks down 60 %
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Name: Dr. Warren Huang
Email: wh3928@yahoo.com