| China ADR shares performance market forces mechanism OSA simulation forecasts: China credit tightening through 2011 yearend ,to cool housing demand, inflation, China ADRshare entering bear market correction | |||||||||||||||
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| Dr. Warren Huang offered thousands lectures to China, US, Taiwan 15 cities TV, radio 30 million investors, fund managers on listed China, US, Taiwan companies, ADR share performance,accurately predicted Dec. 20, 2010 on Tianjin HK economist annual meeting that China inflation, housing bubble macrocontrol will continue into 2011,US QE2, led to global stocks, China ADR, commodities, gold, metal s price up 30 % resulted global inflation, rate hikes, EURO US debt crisis, double dip recession fear drag US global stock market for bear market correction. China Aug. CPI still up 6.2 % dispite People Bank rate rate 4 times, bank deposit rate to 21.5 %, M2 drop to 13.5 %, Housing price bubble still at its peak, credit tightening will continue into yearend, stocks market continue bear market correction, making new low, with SHanghai A composite test 2200- 2400, Zhenzhen A test 9000- 10,000
HE also predicted June 16, 2007 on Peking University international financial engineering risk management conference that China equities and housing market overheated facing credit tightening tightening, Shanghai A facing bear marekt correction,( plunged from 6000 to 2000,, As money supply growth cut to 12 % SHanghai A plunged from 6000 to 1666, stock prices forecasts Name ADR traded range CHU competition nbsp;15- 22 CHL competition& nbsp; 40- 50 CHA competition nbsp; 50-- 65 CEO plunging oil price 140- 175 PTR plunging oil price 140- 175 SNP Margin squeez 80- 102 SINA profit decline 60 85 SOHU profit decline 45 -60 ACH shrinking profit 10- 12.5 LFC higher risks 30 - 40 CTRIP profit squeez 29- 40 GSH steady demand 15-19 HNP shrinking profit 12- 17.5 JIXAY shringing profit margin 50 70 NTES competition 30- 45 PTR oil price plunge 100- 125 SNDA competition 28- 35 YZC shrinking profit 15- 22 |
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| My Favorite Links: | |||||||||||||||
| Daily global ADR shares prices | |||||||||||||||
| China credit tightening, RMB forecast | |||||||||||||||
| Global finance, capital market OSA | |||||||||||||||
| Macroeconomic control impact on China ADR shares | |||||||||||||||
| pioneer OSA structural simulation forecast of China A, B, ADR share | |||||||||||||||
| Name: | Dr. Warren Huang | ||||||||||||||
| Email: | wh3928@yahoo.com | ||||||||||||||