| Proactive structural, US interst rate, dollar, oil price impact on commodity, metals futures market forces mechanism 2008 extend to forecast Dr. HUang predicted Feb, Nov, 2005 to Beijin China oil conferences: Excessive US China consumer, business demand drives oil prices soared to 69 summer 2005 and January 2006,and to 80 in summer 2006, push metals prices to new high in summer 2005 and 2006 and Jan feedgrain ( sugar) prices rally on Katrina damage and soaring oil, China infaltion up at 8.7 % led to China hosuing market credit tightening, , US at inflation up 4.3 %, extend into the summer, oil to 110-125, commodity prices peaking out in summer due to stimulus and rate cuts |
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| US/China soaring consumer, business demand for housing , auto bubbles, weak US dollar drive oil prices to 80 in summer 2007, US rate cuts,weak dollar, economic package , drive oil to 125, gold to 1000, corn over 600, soybean 1350 The following market forces prices mechanism accurately predicted last 20 years daily global commodity market daily futures prices commodity futures prices= F ( inflation,oil prices, dollar exchange rate) metals futures prices = F ( consumer, , business demand, oil prices, dollar exchange rate) crude oil 110- 125, gasoline, heating oil, 290- 350 Gold futures 800- 1050 Silver futures 950- 1700 Copper 320- 450, platinum 950- 1250 corn 550-750 soybean 1200-1400 |
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